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Sporting Index make the Red Rose favourite to sit atop the six-team table in six weeks’ time, quoting their spread at 35-38, narrowly ahead of France, with an outright index spread of 33-36. Behind Ireland, Wales are given a spread of 17-20. Given that Warren Gatland’s men have won only two of the 12 games they played last year, there is likely to be quite a few punters prepared to sell at 17.
On the match itself, the Welsh and sellers of England’s supremacy spread have more reason to be upbeat as the Dragons have beaten the English twice in the last three Six Nations, once at Twickenham and, in 2009, a 23-15 victory in Cardiff. Furthermore, Martin Johnson’s plans have been hit by a number of injuries to key players, notably outstanding second-row Courtney Lawes and captain Lewis ‘Mad Dog’ Moody.
Although 38 points were scored on the last occasion these teams met at the Millennium Stadium, only three tries were scored. The differing conditions this time – namely the closed roof and the added excitement of the post-work, opening Championship fixture – might affect buying and selling decisions on the total points and tries spreads in either direction. A lack of discipline and some excellent kicking from Wales number ten Stephen Jones won it for Wales two years ago by kicking six successful penalties, and spread buyers of total kicking metres will hope for a similar method of victory for either side. However, the Autumn Internationals showed that England’s ‘expansive rugby’ is finally taking shape, so perhaps sellers of the kicking metres spread should be right to expect fewer penalty opportunities and more five-pointers. Spread buyers may well agree, but conclude more tries may well lead to more conversions. Toby Flood will carry the burden of reliable boot for the Red Rose, and Sporting Index punters who fancy the Leicester fly-half to impress might like to buy England’s tournament kicking metres at 885.
Plenty of expectation will be carried on the rather broad shoulders of England’s back three of Mark Cueto, Ben Foden and Chris Ashton. Northampton Saint Ashton has just been awarded try of the year for that score against Australia, and his match performance spread will no doubt be as high as most spread bettors would predict.
On Saturday, Italy host Ireland but remain big outsiders to win their match. The Azzurri are given a negative total supremacy 67-72 for the tournament and spread sellers will be keen for the hosts to get off to a strong start with home advantage.
Scotland also jet to the continent as they take on Les Bleus at the Stade de France. Scotland recorded an excellent victory over World Champions South Africa in November, something that both England and Wales failed to do, but can they overcome a rugby union nation that is riding high on the back of club success in the Heineken Cup? Even if they can, plenty will be selling the total tries spread. In their victory over the Springboks, Dan Parks kicked every single one of his side’s 21 points.
Spread betting punters will be conscious of the extreme rivalry of ‘Le Crunch’, heightened additional this 12 months by the fact that each France and England are on program for a Grand Slam and have each demonstrated glimpses of brilliance in the tournament previously. Ahead of any spread betting decision is manufactured, nevertheless, the issue that wants to be asked is which France will flip up to Twickenham? Les Bleus can both display fierce, cost-free-flowing rugby, as witnessed in their opening 6 nations match in opposition to Scotland, or can be disorganised and uninterested, as they appeared at most factors in the Autumn Internationals.
Customers of England’s supremacy spread will hope to see something approximating the Red Rose’s 46-point win more than Italy a fortnight in the past, but are likely to be much less bullish about the hosts’ odds. Purchasers of either side’s win index spread most likely would not be surprised to find out that benefits are rather evenly split more than the most recent meetings in between arguably the Northern Hemisphere’s two strongest rugby union proponents. Going back again to the Six Nations meeting 4 decades ago, there have been 7 head-to-heads with four won by England and three won by their Gallic opponents. Both spread purchasers and sellers of the supremacy must notice that only a few instances in this period of time has a lot more than 10 points separated the sides, with an common winning margin of just underneath that.
At HQ, the venue for this weekend’s matchup, it can be a similar story. There have been four matches among the sides in southwest London because Martin Johnson triumphantly lifted the World Cup as England captain in 2003, with two wins apiece. Even so, it can be purchasers of England’s supremacy spread that have more reason to be encouraged – the hosts won by 24 factors on the previous occasion.
All eyes will be on predatory England winger Chris Ashton this weekend. Amid rugby spread betting punters, he is possibly equally reviled and adored for his most current performance. Spread consumers of his attempt minutes versus Italy at 46 ended up of course delighted with his 4 tries and a spread make-up of 158, but sellers of his spread are possibly nevertheless mopping up the tears. Ashton can break the report for the quantity of tries scored in an individual Championship this weekend, and there will not be a great deal of spread punters ready to take him on in both his functionality spread, attempt minutes or as part of England’s hotshots.
Elsewhere, Wales visit the Stadio Flaminio to take on Italy although Scotland host Ireland. Soon after their hammering at Twickenham, Sporting Index have adjusted the opposition/Italy tournament supremacy up to 78-82 and spread customers will be pleased that Wales have won the very last three meetings by an typical of 22 factors. Passe-temps spread betting punters weighing up complete points at Murrayfield are in a quandary. Scotland seemed great in opposition to France, in France, and even crossed the line 3 moments, but managed only two penalties in a lacklustre show at property against Wales.